Sunday, June 12, 2005

Population Growth : How we are performing?

Today I will compare how we are faring on population growth almost 10 years on since the Global Scenario Group report, Bending the curve: Towards Global Sustainability. Some key indicators of 1995 were:
1) World population of 5.7 billion.
2) 85% in non OECD countries.
The projections for 2050 in the reference scenario were:
1) World population of 9.4 billion (over 50% growth).
2) 89% in non OECD countries.
The projections for 2050 in the policy reform scenario were taken roughly to be 95% of the reference scenario, i.e., 8.9 billion.
According to World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision:
1) By July 2005 the world population would be 6.5 billion.
2) 95% of the growth in the developing world. 81% in non OECD countries.
For 2050:
1) World population of 9.1 billion (range of 7.6 - 10.6 billion based on future fertility rate).
2) Population in developed country practically unchanged (1.2 billion), i.e, 87% non OECD.
I think its fair to conclude from the comparison that efforts have been done to move towards a more sustainable world through improvement of the lives of the poor, active family planning et cetera though there is still a lot to do.

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